November 2010

Wednesday, November 17, 2010
“The Winding Road to Recovery: The Curious Case of the U.S. Economy”


  • Rajeev Dhawan, Economic Forecasting Center, Georgia State University
  • Robert Fry, Senior Associate Economist, DuPont
  • Karsten Jeske, Senior Quantitative Analyst,
    Mellon Capital Management
  • Kenneth Shiver, Chief Economist, Manager Costing,
    Forecasting and Energy Analysis, Southern Company

Conference Program

8:00 a.m. Registration & Breakfast
8:30 a.m. Words of Welcome H. Fenwick Huss
J. Mack Robinson College of Business
Georgia State University
8:35 a.m. Outlook for U.S. Manufacturing: Views from the Trenches »The U.S. manufacturing sector has had a roller-coaster ride through the severe recession that ended in June 2009 and the subsequent recovery.  Robert Fry, Senior Economist at DuPont, will speak about the manufacturing recovery in different regions of the world, the factors driving it, and what lies ahead for the U.S. manufacturing industry. Robert Fry
Senior Economist
9:00 a.m. Financial Markets: Is “after the crisis” just “ahead of the crisis”? »The worst financial crisis in decades may have subsided but a large degree of uncertainty remains. As a practitioner in asset allocation I will talk about the current state of financial markets, new developments in the hedge fund and commodity world, as well as my 2011 outlook for different asset classes. Karsten Jeske
Senior Quantitative Analyst
Mellon Capital Management
9:25 a.m. Electricity Demand and the Great Recession »Economic activity and electricity demand are linked together from the peak of the business cycle to the trough. Wall Street analysts regularly follow the demand for electricity for clues to the performance of the economy and where it is going. In this presentation, we will highlight the insights that can be gained from looking at the details of electricity demand through the business cycle and what Southern Company’s recent experience reveals about the depth of this past recession. Additionally, we will review current information for indications on the status of the economic recovery. Kenneth Shiver
Chief Economist, Manager Costing, Forecasting and Energy Analysis
Southern Company
9:50 a.m. Q & A
10:05 a.m. Refreshments Break
10:30 a.m. Forecast of the Nation, State and Region Rajeev Dhawan
Economic Forecasting Center
J. Mack Robinson College of Business
Georgia State University
11:40 a.m. Q & A Conclusion
11:50 a.m. Light lunch & Networking

Cancellation & Substitution Policies

Cancellation Policy

To cancel your registration and be eligible for a refund, call the Economic Forecasting Center at 404-413-7260 before 4pm the day before the conference. A stop payment of a check does not constitute a formal cancellation. Registrants who do not attend the conference and have not cancelled one day prior to the conference are liable for the entire registration fee but will be mailed conference materials.

Substitution Policy

If an annual subscriber cannot attend the conference, another person from the same company can substitute in the subscriber’s place.

Industry Speakers

Karsten Jeske
Senior Quantitative Analyst
Mellon Capital Management
Dr. Karsten Jeske is a Senior Quantitative Analyst at Mellon Capital Management, an asset manager in San Francisco. He works in the Asset Allocation department, conducting research into developing new strategies and enhancing existing products. Previously, he worked as an economist in the Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta and as a visiting economics professor at Emory University.Dr. Jeske’s academic research has analyzed the impact of government sponsored enterprises on the mortgage market, the economic effects of energy prices, and the market for health insurance. His work has been published in the Journal of Political Economy, Journal of Monetary Economics, Journal of Money Credit and Banking and has been quoted in the Wall Street Journal. Dr. Jeske received an M.A. and Ph.D. in Economics at the University of Minnesota and he also attained the Chartered Financial Analyst designation.
Robert Fry
Senior Associate Economist
Robert C. Fry, Jr. is Senior Economist for DuPont.  Mr. Fry joined DuPont in 1984 in Wilmington, Del., as an economist in Conoco’s Coordinating and Planning Department.In 1987, he transferred to DuPont as associate economist in the DuPont Economist’s Office.In 1993 and 1994, he was a fixed income analyst for DuPont Pension Fund Investment (now DuPont Capital Management).Mr. Fry returned to the Economist’s Office and was named to his current position on Nov. 1, 1994.

Mr. Fry is a member of the board of directors of the National Association for Business Economics, a member of the Conference of Business Economists, and one of DuPont’s two representatives on the board of directors of the Charter School of Wilmington.

He received a bachelor’s degree in economics from Ohio University and a master’s and Ph.D. in economics from Harvard University.

Kenneth Shiver
Chief Economist
Manager Costing, Forecasting and Energy Analysis
Southern Company
Mr. Shiver is the Chief Economist of the Atlanta-based Southern Company.  As manager of the company’s Costing, Forecasting and Energy Analysis functions, he is responsible for monitoring the economic environment and for the development of forecasts and costing studies that drive the company’s planning and analysis processes.  Additionally, the department analyzes a variety of issues related to energy efficiency and how it impacts customers and company outlooks.  His department is responsible for working with each of Southern’s retail business units and wholesale operations in the preparation of the company’s outlooks and studies.Mr. Shiver began his career with Southern Company in 1991 as a senior forecasting analyst.  During his tenure in the forecasting department, Mr. Shiver developed a fundamental understanding of the economics of the energy industry.  He utilized his expertise in the preparation of forecasts of new pricing products, natural gas prices, and customer profitability.  In 1998, Mr. Shiver joined Georgia Power to lead the Economic Analysis Team.  In this role, his team analyzed the economics of demand side programs, competitive bids, and sales programs.  In 2002, Mr. Shiver returned to Southern Company to assume his current responsibilities.   In addition to managing the forecasting and costing function of Southern Company, Mr. Shiver also represents the company as a witness in its regulatory filings.

He holds a BBA in Economics, Cum Laude from West Georgia College (1989) and a MS in Economics from Georgia State University (1991).  While at Georgia State, Mr. Shiver worked in the Economic Forecasting Center under the direction of Dr. Donald Ratajczak.  Currently, he serves on the Board of Visitors for the Richard’s College of Business at the University of West Georgia.  A native of Georgia, he and his wife, Patty, have one son and reside in Carrollton, Georgia.