March 2023
Economic Forecasting Conference Webinar
Date: Wednesday, March 1, 2023
Time: 9:15 a.m. – 11:55 a.m.
Location: ONLINE via Webex
Speakers
- Rajeev Dhawan
- Professor & Director
- Economic Forecasting Center
- J. Mack Robinson College of Business
- John Hunt
- President
- MarketNSight & ViaSearch
- Kevin Kliesen
- Research Officer
- Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
- Karsten Jeske
- Retired, Personal Finance Blogger
- EarlyRetirementNow.com
Conference Program
| 9:15 a.m. | Welcome & Housekeeping | |
| 9:20 a.m. | Words of Welcome | Gerald D. Gay Finance Department Chairman J. Mack Robinson College of Business |
| 9:25 a.m | Is It 2019 All Over Again? Despite all of the grim headlines, several key housing metrics have remained remarkably close to 2019, a very good year. What will 2023 hold, and how can the housing industry prepare? John will discuss prices, inventory, and interest rates using the industry’s most timely and accurate data. |
John Hunt President MarketNSight & ViaSearch |
| 9:45 a.m | Some Thoughts on the 2023 Outlook for the Macroeconomy and Monetary Policy Financial market participants generally believe that inflation will fall sharply in 2023, which will enable the FOMC to pivot to a policy of wait and see (data dependence). Beliefs about the likelihood of a recession in 2023 appear to be more diverse. This talk will discuss some of the macroeconomic and monetary policy themes and considerations that may arise in 2023. |
Kevin Kliesen Research Officer Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis |
| 10:05 a.m. | Early retirement in an uncertain market environment The Financial Independence, Retire Early, or “FIRE” community received much attention, especially during the pandemic. But inflation, policy uncertainty, and market volatility make the prospect of a safe retirement seem unattainable. How can you still plan for a safe retirement, whether early or traditional, in today’s uncertain market environment? |
Karsten Jeske Retired, Personal Finance Blogger EarlyRetirementNow.com |
| 10:20 a.m. |
Q & A for speakers | |
| 10:30 a.m. | Break | |
| 10:45 a.m. | Economic Outlook Update (Nation & Georgia) Rajeev Dhawan delivers his keynote presentation on the economic outlook of the United States, Georgia and the Atlanta Metro Region. Join us as he shares his views on the state of the global economy as well as employment and consumption trends and their impact on the industry in Georgia. He will discuss, in particular, the implications for residential and commercial real estate in the Atlanta Metro Region. |
Rajeev Dhawan Zwerner Chair of Economic Forecasting & Director Economic Forecasting Center J. Mack Robinson College of Business |
| 11:45 a.m. | Q & A and Concluding Remarks | |
| 11:55 a.m. | Adjourn |
John Hunt is the Chief Analyst and Principal of MarketNsight, providing market analysis for 35 markets across the Southeast. With over 30 years’ experience in the housing industry, his emphasis has been on both qualitative and quantitative analysis which has led to extremely accurate modeling and forecasting. John was part of the team that predicted the 2007 housing recession in September of 2005. John is on the leading edge of Millennial and Active Adult buying trends and was one of the first to signal housings “New Normal” where empty nesters took over as the largest group of new home buyers after the downturn. John also accurately predicted the dramatic loss of First Time Buyers after 2013 and tied it to the disappearance of distressed building lots.
Kevin L. Kliesen is a business economist and Bank Officer in the Research Division at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. He joined the Bank in 1988. He holds an M.A. in Economics from Colorado State University.
Karsten Jeske, Ph.D., CFA, retired in 2018 at the age of 44 after a long career in academia, government, and Corporate America. He previously taught economics at Emory University in Atlanta and worked at the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta and Bank of New York Mellon Asset Management in San Francisco. He uses his new-found time to travel with his wife and daughter and write for his blog Early Retirement Now on all topics related to finance and especially the financial challenges of early retirement withdrawal strategies. He also teaches economics in the Extension Program at the University of California at Berkeley.
